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Darlene

Red flags for an arrived crisis - Part 16

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The world as we know it is changing rapidly. I am so thankful that during the midst of it all, we were aware of the happenings, and thanking God for His Blessings.

Thank you all, that make MrsS. run so smoothly. This site is needed more than ever.

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The world as we know it is changing rapidly. I am so thankful that during the midst of it all, we were aware of the happenings, and thanking God for His Blessings.

Thank you all, that make MrsS. run so smoothly. This site is needed more than ever.

 

AMEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Well said, Skagitgal! :D

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Gas where I am has jumped up about 20 cents a gallon this week. It's at $2.53 right now.

 

We are back up to $2.75 a gallon.

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I found George Ure's comments today at www.urbansurvival.com to be very interesting. Here's an excerpt:

 

America Passes the Brink -- Why Government's Growing

 

Say, here's a fine revenue enhancing plan: Why not have cities in bankrupt states (like....oh, California comes to mind...) charge people for calling 9-11 for emergency help?

 

 

 

That would be frigging crazy, right? But that's exactly what the story out of CBS-13 is reporting as a fait accompli in Tracy, California.

 

 

 

So who is this band of revolutionaries and what have they done with city services and why? Hand me Wikipedia, would'ja?

 

"Located in the Central Valley, Tracy sits atop fertile agricultural lands, which have come under increasing development pressure as the San Francisco Bay Area's vigorous population growth has spilled over into the Tracy area as well as other locations such as new town of Mountain House near the Bay Area's edge. Because of the historic use of DDT on area row crops, there are residual issues of soil contamination from this substance and related persistent chemicals.[1] There is a historic area chloroform groundwater plume associated with Georgia Pacific operations in the area. Faults considered active in the Tracy area are the Black Butte Fault, Midway Fault and Carnegie Corral Fault.[2] The San Joaquin Fault traverses the Tracy area and is a potential source of risk for seismic events.[3]

 

The details can be sniffed out something like this:

 

Regular families can opt for a $48/year signup.

 

Low income folks can sign up for $36/a year.

 

If a nonparticipating family calls for help, and EMT's administer aid, then that's $300 bucks...

 

 

 

With most media not doing a very good job of connecting dots here, let's pull back a bit and look at some 'big picture' stuff because this is all symptomatic of what happens in 'revolutionary' times.

 

 

 

At the macro level the problem is that cities are trying to provide the same services in lean times that they were providing in phatter times.

 

 

 

And, with the FedGov running low on dough (don't worry, the printing presses are running with deficit spending and healthscare plans) States are pushing down problems to cities...which in turn pass then on to the ultimate buck recipients; you and me.

 

 

 

The key pattern to be looking for goes something like this:

 

Mass housing collapse and high foreclosure rates lead to....

 

Declining state budgets as well as....

 

Declining county and city budgets....which leads to...

 

New schemes to raise dough...

 

 

 

Now let me throw a dart at my states in trouble map... If you don't have a map up on your wall to throw darts at, click over here for the Wall Street Journal's bank failure tracking map.... or go over to Slate's dandy "When did your County's jobs disappear?" map...

 

 

 

Be sure to print off maps before throwing your darts...I managed to ruin two nice 24-inch LCD monitors before I figured out that TFT screens tend to lose when you throw 2.5 ounce pub darts at 'em...but that's another story.

 

 

 

Typical of the money-making scams is the outbreak of Photo Enforcement Traffic Cameras which are a hot topic in Aridzona nowadays. Again, same factors are in play. A kind of perfect storm...

 

Collapsed housing market, since the old growth business in the Valley of the Sun has been 'getting old' and fewer can afford that...so there goes housing.

 

Then you've got a republicorp governor, which means the state will be punished for that, being John McCain's homeland, and so forth....

 

What to do? Traffic cameras that snap pictures and print money!

 

 

 

Except it isn't playing with common sense folks who are rebelling by wearing thinks like monkey masks and other Halloweenish get-up in order to make it hard for the State to prove who was actually driving.

 

 

 

[sidebar: Florida has a law against wearing a mask on a public street or highway...]

 

 

 

(ALTA readers will recall quiet a while back this 'masks' stuff was called well in advance...and here it is, all tied neatly into the 'revolution meme...)

 

 

 

Somewhere in America, there has to be a common-sense lawyer who could file a class action lawsuit claiming equal protection statues are being abused. How so?

 

 

 

Well, seems to me that if "x" percent of private sector jobs have been eliminated because their jobs have been shipped to lower bidders overseas, that there would be an equal "x" percent of jobs lost in government at all levels and spread proportionately.

 

 

 

The Deep Dark Secret Revealed

 

OK, here's the economic reality that no one in Washington, any State Capitol, or even your local County or City governments want you to know. Government grows when times get bad.

 

 

 

Here's why in simple, direct economics with no fancy math or bullshit. This is so simple you can teach it to anyone.

 

Pencil out what happens when two conditions occur: The civilian employment drops by 10% in a recession but government employment remains the same (although programs like JPTA and its successors (WIA et al) means government really grows during recessions, but let's be generous and assume it stays the same size). Want to see an ugly progression?

 

(Employment in Millions))

Timeline Govjobs Civjobs Govjob Ratio

Baseline Year 10 100.0 10

Recession #1 10.0 90.0

Growth @20% 12.0 108.0 9

Recession #2 12.0 97.2

Growth @ 20% 14.4 116.6 8.1

Recession #3 14.4 105.0

Growth @ 20% 17.3 126.0 7.29

Recession #4 17.3 113.4

Growth @20% 20.7 136.0 6.561

Recession #5 20.7 122.4

Growth @ 20% 24.9 146.9 5.9049

Recession #6 24.9 132.2 5.31

 

 

 

You see that right-hand column? Starts off with one government job for 100 private sector job. But, by the time you grow through six recessions, you're climbed to 1 government job for every 5.3 private sector jobs.

 

 

 

Simple, huh?

 

 

 

"Ain't it really a lot more complicated?" A bit...but not much. If you just awaken slightly you can see the pressures around you every day.

 

 

 

How many recessions have there been? Well, you go over to Wikipedia and start counting and it quickly becomes apparent that the Founding Father's missed something.

 

 

 

But that's the ugly truth of things: In a recession where government doesn't suffer right along with the common (nongov) workers, the power and influence of government grows and that unfortunately (but almost precisely) explains how America went from almost no government to way too much.

 

 

 

Or, is it? Just don't call 9-11 in Tracy or speed while crossing the boring flatlands of Aridzona...you might encounter the answer first-hand.

 

---

 

This simple kind of economic insight is what landed Nikolai Kondratiev in a Siberian labor camp for being a little too honest about how economics works...just a d**m shame our forefathers didn't have econometric modeling which I'm convinced could have helped them develop a 'more perfect union.' One with a ban on lobbyists, maybe, or interstate campaign contributions to what were supposed to be locally elected positions.

 

 

 

Bigger government thanks to recession and checkbook legislation via lobbyists is not about to be reversed - just too much dough in it for the player. Like asking a floating craps game to turn over the dice...not a chance except the hard way.

 

 

 

That fuse was lit the first time government didn't shrink in proportion to civilian unemployment, know what I'm saying? Social/technocratic/corpgov fascism has only been a matter of time...

 

 

 

Oh, and those stories about how "Obama Rejects Attacks' 'Cries of Socialism"? Till government suffers along with the people, that's where we're going, sad to say...but no reason for government to suffer. After all, they control the printing presses that make (what passes for) money, LOL.

 

 

 

Worrywart's Corner

 

Hmmm...here's a good nail-biter...

 

"Hi George;

 

 

 

Per Jim Sinclair, Greece may only have days left before they run out of cash.

 

 

 

There is a full court press of high ranking US officials on the ground in the Middle East. They are all there to work on the attack on Iran.

 

I swear, I used to think wars were something promoted by the defense industry...you know - government contracts and all. But no, my new theory is that the "wars and rumors of wars" is all a controller's game (in concert with MainStreamMedia) to sell papers, pairs of eyes on the Cyclops in the living room, and in turn bolster sagging ad sales.

 

 

 

Traffic Surge

 

Say, I noticed that 97-thousand people read this web site yesterday. Either we managed to spill enough coffee from people laughing that law offices are grabbing snapshots wholesale or someone said something nice about the site or our practical approach to economics makes way more sense than anything out of Washington, or I have a server issue, or....(the list goes on...)

 

 

 

But, whatever the reason, thanks! Just keep passing the website along to your friends...'preciate it.

 

 

 

---

 

Send your comments to george@ure.net

 

 

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A friend on Facebook and one of her friends were discussing their Capital One banks were closed without explanation today in New York. :o

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Our city is in big financial trouble. Everyone that works for the city (police, firemen, etc.) will be required to take at least 3 days forlough without pay, no raises, lowered benefits, less vacation time, etc. They are all willing to do this so everyone can keep their jobs.

Now the city council is saying they will probably close all summer swimming pools, 1 YMCA and 1 Alliance Center for girls, a library, a public golf course, 3 senior citizen centers out of 6--placed in neighborhoods where people are walking to them, all senior van rides for trips to the doctors and medical treatments, and the list goes on. I realize that several are considered recreational but even doing this there will still be a deficit of over two million dollars. A lot of these are used by the kids and senior citizens. They serve meals at the SCC a very reasonable price($2.50) and the van rides are $1--$2.00 depending on locations.) The sales tax revenue was down $1,200,000 and 3 major businesses closes the past 9 months with over 600 people losing jobs. The crime rate is up, and more and more people are hurting. And they say things are getting better??????????????? Global Warming and better economy--yeah right! :laughkick:

 

Praise God He is my Source of strength and in Him I will trust.

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Our city is in big financial trouble. Everyone that works for the city (police, firemen, etc.) will be required to take at least 3 days forlough without pay, no raises, lowered benefits, less vacation time, etc. They are all willing to do this so everyone can keep their jobs.

Now the city council is saying they will probably close all summer swimming pools, 1 YMCA and 1 Alliance Center for girls, a library, a public golf course, 3 senior citizen centers out of 6--placed in neighborhoods where people are walking to them, all senior van rides for trips to the doctors and medical treatments, and the list goes on. I realize that several are considered recreational but even doing this there will still be a deficit of over two million dollars. A lot of these are used by the kids and senior citizens. They serve meals at the SCC a very reasonable price($2.50) and the van rides are $1--$2.00 depending on locations.) The sales tax revenue was down $1,200,000 and 3 major businesses closes the past 9 months with over 600 people losing jobs. The crime rate is up, and more and more people are hurting. And they say things are getting better??????????????? Global Warming and better economy--yeah right! :laughkick:

 

Praise God He is my Source of strength and in Him I will trust.

 

You peaked my interest. YMCA???? Most are their own stand alone or a metro.

 

Chicago did furlough days this past year in order to save jobs. Mayor Daly also took them to lead the way.

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Jori, I don't know. This is just what the paper was saying. I don't know what the metro is. My hubby said it was the Boys Club, not the Y. That is what I get for assuming I know what I am talking about. They are also subsidized by the City and United Way because of some of the programs offered. They said it would be more economical to have just one. Right now they transport from the schools to the club. They have a wonderful after school progam with snacks, homework time, games, etc. To me, a good program especially for the kids who would be left home alone.

 

A bond issue was passed 3 years ago. They still have a lot of money left but I don't think it can be transferred to other areas as it was set aside for zoo improvement, road improvements such as repairs, exits off of the loop around town, park improvements, lake projects, etc. I think we are just now beginning to feel here what alot of the country has been going through although our unemployment is going up. We have a large coliseum with rodeo grounds that is no longer self supporting. It is being discussed what to do with it. Even though it is used a lot, they receive part of the sales taxes and hotel taxes back. Since that has gone way down, they are hurting. It seems sports teams are not spending the nights like they used to and many rodeoers are now bringing their own 'beds' with them or returning home at night.

Edited by AMarthaByHeart

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Looks like you are very near where I live. I wondered why the city would close the pools and south side library when those are needed to give the general public a place to go, especially the kids. The city has been over looking the obvious for years and now it is catching up with the less than astute city council.

 

Where I live, things are pretty much the same as it was 30 years ago when we moved here. Our last mayor did try to up date the emergency system some, but this town is just as apathetic as the over population of dogs brought here by the nearby town.

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Glad to hear there is someone close who thinks a lot like I do. It was the south side library. We moved here 5 years ago from a much smaller place. IT seems you know more about our city government than I do. I don't understand their thinking either on the programs they are cutting. Sometimes I think that politics play a role in their decisions. My hubby reminded me the article did say that they may just suspend some of the programs until 2011 when they could start some of them back up if things get better economically.

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AMarthaByHeart~ You brought up a potentially huge problem that most people aren't thinking about. As incomes are lost or reduced, inflation starts to rise, and the economy continues it's downward free fall, donations to United Way are going to drop (both individual and corporate). I think when that starts happening non-profits are going to drastically cut services or close up shop all together. Receiving agencies in our county include the Boys and Girls Club; YMCA; Agency that works with mental ill, mental & physically handicapped individuals, birth to death; the organization that helps low income individuals find permanent housing; homeless shelter and the long term housing; Council on Aging and Community Services (transportation, meals on wheels, senior centers, energy assistants, section 8 housing); Parks Departments; the list goes on and on.

 

It's scary to think what would/could happen if even one of those agencies closed and the hole it would leave in any community. So. now I'm going to have to go check our UW site and see what the difference has been over the last 3 years.

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Most govs will cut where it hurts the most in an effort to convince the voters to go for increased taxes. IMHO, if the voters would turn around and boot the incumbents out, they MIGHT get a better deal. They should also demand to see where the tax dollars are going in their community.

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In our neighborhood (rural town, semi planned neighborhood, lots between .33 and .66 lots) there have been an influx of ppl leaving in RV and campers in relatives driveways. We've lived here over 5 yrs and there have always been a few ppl that had relatives living in a camper or RV. Our "association" (really not much but our neighborhood does have some) stateds that you can have someone live in an RV or Camper on your property for 6mos but then they have to have the RV or Camper not occupied or off the propery for 30days.

Last year I first noticed a few more. Now even more.

 

Is anyone else seeing this in there area?

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I don't shop Walmart a lot because Kroger doubles coupons, but recently I was looking for a new comforter/bedspread for my bed and had to go take a look. Do you know I kept an eye on the shelves for 3 WEEKS and they maybe had 3 to 5 on the shelf at any given tiime????? UNREAL....so after 3 weeks I rode to JC Penny's and they, too, were also very limited in selection and sizes. After waiting another two weeks and checking back there....no change. It was suggested to me by the Penny's manager to order from the catalogue because with the economy being what it was they ordered bare minimal. It was suggested to me by someone who works walmart that the best way to get anything there is to order by internet and do the "site to store" option.

After a month or more of looking I had to go out of town to find something.

 

Our Church runs a Kindegarden/Daycare (up to 5yr old kindegarden)...they are operating in the red and will most likely have to close the doors....atleast on the kindegarden....not sure about the daycare. It had been one of the most popular ones in town at one point and very well established. Our Church leaders have taken a cut in salary and they have now had to shut down the Church office except one day a week. Our Church Secretaries will now have to find other jobs.

 

I have heard a rumor that our school district will be cutting jobs. My boss told me she would find a place for me in the district this next year because the student that I work with will be graduating. She told me not to worry about my job. After hearing this rumor I can't help but worry. Common sense would delegate letting me go in order to keep a certified teacher. Im trying to decide whether to approach her about it or not so I can plan....if I loose my job we will have to let our house go.

 

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In our neighborhood (rural town, semi planned neighborhood, lots between .33 and .66 lots) there have been an influx of ppl leaving in RV and campers in relatives driveways. We've lived here over 5 yrs and there have always been a few ppl that had relatives living in a camper or RV. Our "association" (really not much but our neighborhood does have some) stateds that you can have someone live in an RV or Camper on your property for 6mos but then they have to have the RV or Camper not occupied or off the propery for 30days.

Last year I first noticed a few more. Now even more.

 

Is anyone else seeing this in there area?

Yes we have 3 people doing this with in a block of us. Except its illegal here they can only be parked for 72 hours, so they leave for a bit and then come back. WE also have several homes with multiple families in them.

 

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We had one RV for about 2 months but we are having more related living. U-haul was at the neighbor's twice last week. Front page of Fridays paper one of the county schools is looking at cutting teachers' job. '09 budget was 9.7 million '10 original reduction was 9.3 million '10 after Governor called for more cuts was 8.9 million. They are looking at a reduction of 5 1/2 teaching positions.

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Went to the co-op today for chicken feed and some seed. One popular okra seed here is cow horn okra so the co-op always keeps plenty. Today the manager told me it was on back order and he didn't know if he would ever get any! Thats very unusual.

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He had all the other seed. But after looking around on the net it appears they consider it an heirloom seed because it is from back in the late 1800's and I think the people with the seeds are selling them to make money. I found one place that had them for $25 for 1 pound!

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Our high school is already pre-enrolling and setting up the classes for next year. They have cut several class choices and I have heard that they will not replace any staff that leaves and will cut additional staff over the summer. There have been so many school bond elections asking for more money that some citizens have filed a lawsuit against the school board for making us vote 'NO' on the similar bonds over and over. Some feel our district has repeatedly made such bad decisions with the funds they do have and that the quality of teachers and education has gone down hill so quickly that they are tired of supporting it.

 

It's really sad because it use to be an excellent school system with wonderful teachers, staff, and parent/community support before it hired a new administrator.

 

edited to add...dd just went to WM to pick up a package of copy paper and a can of lysol for one of her teachers...teacher says the school has no money for paper to print off tests, daily work , etc. She did the same thing last semester.....it's crazy

 

bb

Edited by Mt_Rider
fixin' something

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Our local paper ran a story today stating that our state's budget cuts are threatening teacher stipends. The teachers who get their National Cert get about $6000 more and looks like they will be loosing it.

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