2020 Corona Virus

[Ambergris]

Please keep us posted on your brother.

Edited April 5, 2021 by Ambergris

[Jeepers]

Littlesister, I'd love nothing more than for us to go to a Stones concert together. They really do put on a fantastic show with all the bells and whistles and close ups. I got to hit the floating beachball at one of their outdoor concerts. I always get great seats with me on the end row so I can dance in the aisle. I would gladly share my seat with you! 

 

I think memories and traditions are important. They let us know we have lived.

[Ambergris]

Deaths in the week ending March 28:

Chart arranged by number of deaths:

	DEATHS TO DATE		ONE-WEEK TOTAL
State	Total deaths	Per 100K	New deaths	Per 100K	1-wk chg.
United States	549,485	166	6,987	2.1	–10.3%
California	58,431	148	1,396	3.5	+14.2%
Texas	48,315	167	743	2.6	–17.6%
New York State	49,737	256	596	3.1	+27.1%
Florida	33,819	158	450	2.1	–11.6%
Georgia	18,926	178	396	3.7	+26.1%
Kentucky	6,031	135	293	6.6	–61.2%
Massachusetts	17,115	248	248	3.6	+11.7%
New Jersey	24,389	275	215	2.4	–20.7%
North Carolina	12,028	115	208	2.0	+61.2%
Pennsylvania	25,058	196	205	1.6	–26.0%
Ohio	18,526	159	186	1.6	–60.3%
Arizona	16,918	232	173	2.4	–9.9%
Illinois	23,521	186	164	1.3	+8.6%
Michigan	17,047	171	141	1.4	+2.9%
South Carolina	9,122	177	115	2.2	–12.9%
Tennessee	11,816	173	107	1.6	+52.9%
Louisiana	10,087	217	99	2.1	–4.8%
Alabama	10,526	215	90	1.8	–17.4%
Virginia	10,198	120	81	0.9	–17.3%
Maryland	8,251	137	81	1.3	–33.6%
Indiana	13,023	193	77	1.1	–14.4%
Missouri	8,757	143	76	1.2	+28.8%
Nevada	5,236	170	64	2.1	+18.5%
Oklahoma	4,850	123	62	1.6	–28.7%
Arkansas	5,595	185	56	1.9	–13.8%
Utah	2,114	66	52	1.6	+48.6%
Iowa	5,725	182	50	1.6	+47.1%
Kansas	4,891	168	49	1.7	+172.2%
Minnesota	6,830	121	48	0.9	+33.3%
Colorado	6,196	108	47	0.8	–39.0%
Mississippi	7,001	235	45	1.5	–18.2%
Washington	5,218	69	44	0.6	–13.7%
Nebraska	2,175	112	40	2.1	+400.0%
New Mexico	3,925	187	36	1.7	–2.7%
Wisconsin	7,274	125	34	0.6	–46.9%
Connecticut	7,865	221	33	0.9	–50.7%
West Virginia	2,634	147	28	1.6	–63.2%
Montana	1,436	134	22	2.1	+0%
New Hampshire	1,237	91	20	1.5	+11.1%
Puerto Rico	2,112	66	16	0.5	–15.8%
Delaware	1,544	159	15	1.5	–31.8%
Rhode Island	2,608	246	13	1.2	–53.6%
Idaho	1,954	109	13	0.7	–58.1%
Oregon	2,375	56	12	0.3	–70.7%
South Dakota	1,933	219	10	1.1	–9.1%
Hawaii	462	33	8	0.6	+166.7%
Maine	736	55	7	0.5	+40.0%
Vermont	225	36	6	1.0	+20.0%
Washington, D.C.	1,056	150	6	0.9	–33.3%
North Dakota	1,466	192	5	0.7	+25.0%
Alaska	313	43	3	0.4	–25.0%
Wyoming	695	120	2	0.3	+0%

arranged by where this is going for the state:

	DEATHS up to 3-28		ONE-WEEK TOTAL
State	Total deaths	Per 100K	New deaths	Per 100K	1-wk chg.
Nebraska	2,175	112	40	2.1	+400.0%
Kansas	4,891	168	49	1.7	+172.2%
Hawaii	462	33	8	0.6	+166.7%
North Carolina	12,028	115	208	2.0	+61.2%
Tennessee	11,816	173	107	1.6	+52.9%
Utah	2,114	66	52	1.6	+48.6%
Iowa	5,725	182	50	1.6	+47.1%
Maine	736	55	7	0.5	+40.0%
Minnesota	6,830	121	48	0.9	+33.3%
Missouri	8,757	143	76	1.2	+28.8%
New York State	49,737	256	596	3.1	+27.1%
Georgia	18,926	178	396	3.7	+26.1%
North Dakota	1,466	192	5	0.7	+25.0%
Vermont	225	36	6	1.0	+20.0%
Nevada	5,236	170	64	2.1	+18.5%
California	58,431	148	1,396	3.5	+14.2%
Massachusetts	17,115	248	248	3.6	+11.7%
New Hampshire	1,237	91	20	1.5	+11.1%
Illinois	23,521	186	164	1.3	+8.6%
Michigan	17,047	171	141	1.4	+2.9%
Montana	1,436	134	22	2.1	+0%
Wyoming	695	120	2	0.3	+0%
New Mexico	3,925	187	36	1.7	–2.7%
Louisiana	10,087	217	99	2.1	–4.8%
South Dakota	1,933	219	10	1.1	–9.1%
Arizona	16,918	232	173	2.4	–9.9%
Florida	33,819	158	450	2.1	–11.6%
South Carolina	9,122	177	115	2.2	–12.9%
Washington	5,218	69	44	0.6	–13.7%
Arkansas	5,595	185	56	1.9	–13.8%
Indiana	13,023	193	77	1.1	–14.4%
Puerto Rico	2,112	66	16	0.5	–15.8%
Virginia	10,198	120	81	0.9	–17.3%
Alabama	10,526	215	90	1.8	–17.4%
Texas	48,315	167	743	2.6	–17.6%
Mississippi	7,001	235	45	1.5	–18.2%
New Jersey	24,389	275	215	2.4	–20.7%
Alaska	313	43	3	0.4	–25.0%
Pennsylvania	25,058	196	205	1.6	–26.0%
Oklahoma	4,850	123	62	1.6	–28.7%
Delaware	1,544	159	15	1.5	–31.8%
Washington, D.C.	1,056	150	6	0.9	–33.3%
Maryland	8,251	137	81	1.3	–33.6%
Colorado	6,196	108	47	0.8	–39.0%
Wisconsin	7,274	125	34	0.6	–46.9%
Connecticut	7,865	221	33	0.9	–50.7%
Rhode Island	2,608	246	13	1.2	–53.6%
Idaho	1,954	109	13	0.7	–58.1%
Ohio	18,526	159	186	1.6	–60.3%
Kentucky	6,031	135	293	6.6	–61.2%
West Virginia	2,634	147	28	1.6	–63.2%
Oregon	2,375	56	12	0.3	–70.7%

 

For the week ending Sunday, March 28, 2021, arranged by "per 100k" 

	CURRENTLY HOSPITALIZED
State	Avg. this week	Per 100K	1-wk chg.
New Jersey	2,110	24	+10.1%
New York State	4,586	24	+1.1%
Washington, D.C.	134	19	–5.4%
Michigan	1,793	18	+48.6%
Maryland	921	15	+13.0%
Pennsylvania	1,703	13	+9.6%
Florida	2,866	13	–2.8%
Missouri	813	13	–5.9%
Georgia	1,397	13	–10.9%
Connecticut	429	12	+7.1%
Delaware	116	12	+7.7%
West Virginia	214	12	+15.9%
Virginia	1,002	12	–2.9%
Texas	3,385	12	–11.4%
Tennessee	795	12	+16.0%
Rhode Island	116	11	–10.9%
South Carolina	534	10	–6.7%
Illinois	1,264	10	+10.4%
Mississippi	286	10	–14.2%
Nevada	292	10	–6.4%
Kentucky	413	9	–9.6%
Massachusetts	629	9	+4.6%
Indiana	608	9	+0.6%
North Carolina	944	9	–4.2%
Louisiana	393	9	–7.3%
Arizona	621	9	–14.1%
South Dakota	73	8	+7.8%
Ohio	910	8	+5.1%
Alabama	373	8	–3.9%
Idaho	135	8	+14.0%
California	2,850	7	–15.3%
Iowa	197	6	+14.8%
Colorado	358	6	–3.5%
Minnesota	340	6	+16.2%
Arkansas	176	6	–25.4%
Maine	77	6	–3.1%
Nebraska	110	6	–14.9%
Oklahoma	223	6	–4.7%
New Mexico	115	6	–11.3%
New Hampshire	73	5	+3.2%
Washington	413	5	+5.0%
Puerto Rico	169	5	+23.6%
Utah	157	5	–18.9%
Alaska	32	4	–7.4%
Montana	47	4	–13.2%
Kansas	129	4	–4.6%
Vermont	25	4	+9.2%
Wisconsin	226	4	+5.5%
Oregon	127	3	–7.1%
Wyoming	17	3	+14.4%
Hawaii	37	3	+56.6%
North Dakota	18	2	+17.3%

Arranged by where this is going for the state:

CURRENTLY HOSPITALIZED
State	Avg. this week	Per 100K	1-wk chg.
United States	35,771	11	–0.5%
Hawaii	37	3	+56.6%
Michigan	1,793	18	+48.6%
Puerto Rico	169	5	+23.6%
North Dakota	18	2	+17.3%
Minnesota	340	6	+16.2%
Tennessee	795	12	+16.0%
West Virginia	214	12	+15.9%
Iowa	197	6	+14.8%
Wyoming	17	3	+14.4%
Idaho	135	8	+14.0%
Maryland	921	15	+13.0%
Illinois	1,264	10	+10.4%
New Jersey	2,110	24	+10.1%
Pennsylvania	1,703	13	+9.6%
Vermont	25	4	+9.2%
South Dakota	73	8	+7.8%
Delaware	116	12	+7.7%
Connecticut	429	12	+7.1%
Wisconsin	226	4	+5.5%
Ohio	910	8	+5.1%
Washington	413	5	+5.0%
Massachusetts	629	9	+4.6%
New Hampshire	73	5	+3.2%
New York State	4,586	24	+1.1%
Indiana	608	9	+0.6%
Florida	2,866	13	–2.8%
Virginia	1,002	12	–2.9%
Maine	77	6	–3.1%
Colorado	358	6	–3.5%
Alabama	373	8	–3.9%
North Carolina	944	9	–4.2%
Kansas	129	4	–4.6%
Oklahoma	223	6	–4.7%
Washington, D.C.	134	19	–5.4%
Missouri	813	13	–5.9%
Nevada	292	10	–6.4%
South Carolina	534	10	–6.7%
Oregon	127	3	–7.1%
Louisiana	393	9	–7.3%
Alaska	32	4	–7.4%
Kentucky	413	9	–9.6%
Rhode Island	116	11	–10.9%
Georgia	1,397	13	–10.9%
New Mexico	115	6	–11.3%
Texas	3,385	12	–11.4%
Montana	47	4	–13.2%
Arizona	621	9	–14.1%
Mississippi	286	10	–14.2%
Nebraska	110	6	–14.9%
California	2,850	7	–15.3%
Utah	157	5	–18.9%
Arkansas	176	6	–25.4%

[Ambergris]

A study in Israel, where the UK variant B.1.1.7. accounts for 90% of the Covid cases, found that the Pfizer vaccine is effective in preventing symptoms and sneeze transmission, including asymptomatic transmission.  The measurement is that it was " preventing symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, severe and critical hospitalizations, and deaths."  This study was largely funded by Pfizer, and that the data was gathered by Israel's extensive system of spy cameras watching for people exhibiting symptoms.

[Mother]

I keep trying to make sense of all the data and perhaps it is just me but none of it seems to correlate to any particular pattern.  Again, the enemy we can't see coming.  But thanks for posting these updates, Ambergris.  At least I can see where the states are going on any given week.  The county I live in here in Illinois was just put back on the warning list and will probably be set back into lower category of 'openness'.   

 

Thank you all for your prayers for my brother.  I haven't heard how he is this morning but MM, they started giving him the Antibody treatment as soon as he was diagnosed even though they wanted him in the hospital.  When his daughter talked to one of his nurses she was told that they've seen that treatment be very effective.  I can't help but wonder why it isn't given to everyone then.  

 

DH and I had a surprise Easter visit from some of our family complete with a ham meal and all the trimmings.  There were 7 of us adults and three children but we spent most of the evening around a campfire outside.  We did not have masks on, hard to do when you are eating, but we kept our distance and didn't hug (except for the one I gave my new little great grandson (5 months) whom I hadn't yet seen.  The day before we had spent some time with other family members outside and never got within ten feet of each other except for one man who persisted in walking up to me. (without a mask though I had one on).  Seeing family was WONDERFUL.   The underlying concern not so much.  Now the two week waiting period begins.  

[Homesteader]

The last I heard, the Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla, was denied entry into Israel because he had not taken his second vaccine. Maybe he was to be part of that announcement in Israel about Pfizer's success in that country.  His first vacc was in December, so the second one is a bit overdue according to their own mfg. recommendations.   

I'm sorry to hear about your brother, Mother. My brother was pretty sick with what he called a 'bad case of the flu' it but didn't end up in the hospital. The whole family came down with it and aren't planning on getting the gene therapy this year. They did agree to live a better lifestyle and lose some weight.  Let us know how that Antibody therapy works on your brother.   

[Ambergris]

[Ambergris]

 

Countries reporting the most new infections per day:

INDIA       78,489

USA         64,560

BRAZIL    64,324

TURKEY  39,840

FRANCE  39,554

Countries reporting the most deaths each day

BRAZIL      2,747

USA              834

INDIA            465

ITALY            442

POLAND      439

[Mt_Rider]

6 hours ago, Ambergris said:

data was gathered by Israel's extensive system of spy cameras watching for people exhibiting symptoms.

 

    Oye! 

 

I was unhappy to see HAWAII near the top of the Deaths per 100K chart for the week.   

 

 

MtRider  ...thanks for the data, Ambergris...... {even if we don't like what we see}   

[Ambergris]

 
Asia/MidEast countries reporting the most new infections each day (7 day average)

India               84,313

TURKEY         41,289

IRAN               11,569

PHILIPPINES  10,215

BANGLADESH 6,221

 

New reported deaths

INDIA          490

INDONESIA 176

TURKEY       175

IRAN            122

JORDAN      90

 

 

As for the world leader board, calculated on a seven-day average, it hasn't changed much since yesterday:

Countries reporting the most new infections each day 
INDIA                 84,313

USA                   65,185

BRAZIL              62,855

TURKEY            41,289

FRANCE            39,797

Countries reporting the most deaths each day
BRAZIL              2,698

USA                      817

INDIA                   490

ITALY                   425

POLAND              382

[Mother]

Ambergris, the charts helped put some of this into perspective.  Thanks.  Cases up, deaths down.  Just like they 'said' it would be if people got the vaccine but I still can't quite see how that is happening with there being so few, at that point, that had been vaccinated.  (at least here in the US)  

 

I'm not quite sure I trust the figures to be accurate. 

[Mother]

I thought I'd let you know that my brother came home today.  Even his doctor was surprised at how fast he was recovering.  He does have oxygen and meds and orders to rest but he's home.....   Thank you all for caring.  

[Ambergris]

Wonderful news!

Many fewer deaths per infection is what they are hoping to see with some of the vaccines, yes.  Remember that deaths run about two weeks behind infections also.

 

News:
RUSS BYNUM and MICHELLE R. SMITH
Tue, April 6, 2021, 3:42 PM
Nearly half (44%) of new coronavirus infections nationwide are in just five states:  New York, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania and New Jersey, in the latest available seven-day period. Total U.S. infections during the same week numbered more than 452,000.  These states account for 22% of the U.S. population.

 

I heard passing mention of a spike in the last two days in the midwest, but I have not run the figures yet.

 

 

Edited April 7, 2021 by Ambergris

[Jeepers]

Fantastic news Mother! Thanks for the update.

[Mt_Rider]

   Wow....great news!   Continued prayer for Mother's brother and anyone else in family.  Tricky stuff, this COVID!

 

MtRider   

[Ambergris]

The Navajo Nation’s about-face
Once, the Navajo Nation had one of the worst coronavirus case rates in the country.  Indigenous Americans have died at rates nearly twice those of white populations in the U.S. A.  The Navajo Nation imposed curfews and checkpoints as entire families grew sick. Navajo have followed strict lockdown orders and a mask mandate, which was imposed nearly a year ago. In the spirit of community protection, many have lined up to get a shot.  Now more than half of its 170,000 residents living on tribal lands are fully vaccinated. The Navajo Nation has vaccinated more of its population than any state, and recently reached an extraordinary milestone: zero cases and zero deaths in a 24-hour period.  It is, perhaps, the place in the continental U.S. that has best contained the coronavirus pandemic.

[Ambergris]

DHAKA, Bangladesh (AP) — Bangladesh is enforcing a lockdown for a week from Monday, shutting shopping malls and transportation, to help curb the spread of coronavirus as the rate of infections and deaths have increased in recent weeks.

Health authorities said they were facing overwhelming pressure for intensive care units in hospitals in recent weeks because of the severe cases of infections. Domestic flights, river transport and railway operations were suspended Monday while only emergency services will remain operational. Banks will operate for only two and a half hours daily. Industries are allowed to operate but must help their workers commute.  The government has asked people not to go out from 6 p.m. to 6 a.m.

But owners and workers of shopping malls in Dhaka’s Elephant Road area took to the streets, demanding that authorities allow them to run their shops. Some three-wheelers and cars were seen running on the streets of the capital, Dhaka, which are usually clogged during any busy day. Traffic police intercepted bikers and checked their documents. Local TV stations reported that the lockdown in many towns were being enforced loosely.

The nationwide lockdown is the second for the South Asian nation after it shut down for two months from late March last year. On the eve of the lockdown, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina urged people to help curb the spread of the virus in a speech in Parliament. “I know everyone will face difficulties. Despite this, I say lives should be given preference over everything,” Hasina said.

Bangladesh has reported 637,364 cases including 9,266 deaths from COVID-19.

[Ambergris]

French restaurants have been closed since October to slow the spread of the coronavirus, and the country just entered a new partial lockdown in response to intensive care units again filling with COVID-19 patients.  Yet a TV expose has shown footage of secret restaurants operating with impunity, and supposedly serving government ministers.  At one venue, white-gloved waiters presented fixed-price menus running from 160 to 490 euros (around $190 to $575) per person. One host said guests don’t wear masks, despite France’s indoor mask requirements, because “it’s a private club. We want people to feel at home.”  At another venue, reportedly offering a 220-euro ($260) meal, visitors in elegant attire shared cheek kisses and strolled a red carpet. 

“I’m getting sick of this. There’s no point in going to work,” said Michele Feret, a nurse providing home care to virus patients in the town of Creil, north of Paris. She noted that a clandestine restaurant in a working class district of Creil was also recently shut down.  “Let them go to restaurants,” she told The Associated Press, but warned that no one, including top officials, “has special protection” from the virus.

Government spokesman Gabriel Attal said ministers “have a duty to be totally irreproachable and exemplary.” Speaking on LCI television Sunday night, Attal said authorities have been investigating reports of underground parties and restaurants for months, and 200 suspects have been identified and face “heavy punishment.”

When asked by the AP last month how many government officials had been fined for violating virus restrictions, Prime Minister Jean Castex instead listed the number of fines issued to the overall French public.  For those who are caught, the endangerment charge carries a potential prison term and fines of 15,000 euros ($17,600), while participants face fines of 135 euros ($160) for violating curfew and another 135 euros for not wearing masks.

The restaurant revelations came as France’s health minister warned Monday that the number of COVID-19 patients in the country’s intensive care units could reach the level of the first crisis a year ago.  France has reported more virus infections than any European country, and among the world’s highest death tolls, at 96,650.

[out_of_the_ordinary]

 Pennsylvania's Amish Community May Have Already Reached Herd Immunity

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/pennsylvanias-amish-community-may-have-already-reached-herd-immunity

[Ambergris]

Experts are debating whether a so-called fourth wave is upon us.  It’s a race between the vaccines and the variants, they say.  But the truth is a bit more complicated — and perhaps a bit less scary. Zooming in on California, Florida and Michigan helps explain why.

These big states have some things in common. All three previously experienced large waves of infection. All three have at least partially vaccinated about a third of their residents, with California at 35 percent, Michigan at 31 percent and Florida at 31 percent, in line with the U.S. overall. And all three appear to be rife with variants; nationwide, Florida, Michigan and California currently rank No. 1, No. 2 and No. 6, respectively, in the number of B.1.1.7 cases detected to date. Yet their COVID-19 outbreaks couldn’t be more different.
On one end of the spectrum is California. “California now has the lowest positivity rate in the country,” Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom tweeted Monday, and he’s right: Just 1 percent of the state’s COVID tests are coming back positive at the moment, half the rate of the next closest state. New cases (current average: 2,700 per day) have fallen to their lowest level since last June, and hospitalizations (current average: 2,500) are lower than they’ve been since last April, at the very start of the pandemic. On Tuesday, Newsom announced that California — which has spent the last few months steadily advancing through a tiered reopening system while keeping its public mask mandate in effect — will “fully” reopen on June 15 if current trends continue.

Florida is closer to the center of the spectrum. There, masks are not mandatory, bars and restaurants have been open for months — and test positivity (9.5 percent) is more than nine times as high as California’s, with a daily case count that’s twice as high in absolute terms (5,500, on average) and nearly four times as high on a per capita basis. Infections are also heading in the wrong direction, rising 20 percent over the last two weeks — just like the U.S. as a whole. Hospitalizations may be starting to tick up as well.

And then there’s Michigan.

The Great Lakes State is currently suffering through the worst COVID outbreak in America. Over the last two weeks, Michigan’s average number of new daily cases has soared by 88 percent, to 6,700, and hospitalizations have risen even more (114 percent). The percentage of residents currently hospitalized in Michigan is five times as high as in California and nearly twice as high as in Florida. Statewide, hospitalizations have been doubling every 12 to 14 days for the last three weeks, and the absolute increase in hospitalizations over the last week — about 1,000 patients — represents the biggest weekly change since the spring 2020 surge. Unless something changes soon, Michigan is on track to surpass its winter peak for cases and hospitalizations later this month.

So how to account for the enormous differences right now among the COVID outbreaks in California, Florida and Michigan? All three have a relatively high level of variant spread. All three have the same level of vaccination. It doesn’t compute to say the only two factors here — the only two contestants in the race — are variants and vaccines. There’s more going on.  What exactly is going on, however, is harder to unravel. Democrats might credit Newsom’s more cautious approach, citing GOP Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’s rush to fully reopen indoor drinking and dining late last year — and the spring-break revelry it invited — as the cause of today’s rising case counts. There’s probably some truth to the idea that California’s caution has helped — mask mandates and capacity limits work — but ultimately viruses aren’t partisan.

For instance: Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is a Democrat who reopened indoor entertainment venues in December and indoor bars and restaurants in February — later than Florida. Her state’s new daily cases per capita are now two and a half times higher than DeSantis’s. The three other states with the most daily COVID cases — New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania — are all run by Democrats, and many of the states with today’s best positivity numbers (Louisiana, Arizona, Missouri, Arkansas, Indiana) are run by Republicans.
Epidemiologists would go further. They would start by agreeing that reopening always gives the virus an opportunity to spread. But they would also note that now, with pretty much every state approaching full reopening, the key variable is really how prevalent new, more contagious variants have become in particular jurisdictions.

Unfortunately, we don’t have that information.

To be sure, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention can tell us that California has detected 873 B.1.1.7 cases, Michigan has detected 1,649 and Florida has detected 3,192. But it can’t tell us how many B.1.1.7 cases each state hasn’t detected — a vastly larger number. As such, the CDC also can’t tell us whether the reason Michigan’s outbreak is worse than Florida’s is that it actually has more undetected B.1.1.7 going around.

In other words, reopening timelines and variant numbers are important, but they’re not the end of the story. Weather probably matters too, both in terms of how it affects the virus and how it affects behavior. (Michigan, it turns out, is a lot colder than Florida, which makes it harder to gather outdoors in March and April.)  Previous waves shape the current situation as well; California experienced a much larger winter surge than Michigan or Florida — a surge amplified by its own homegrown variant — meaning that its population could be benefiting from a higher level of fresh, infection-induced immunity.  And chance is also a major factor — perhaps the major factor. Michigan, it seems, was unlucky enough to encounter B.1.1.7 as indoor school sports were getting underway; spread in prisons surged at the same time. The state’s outbreak spiraled from there.

On the surface, the apparent randomness of this stage of the U.S. pandemic — the fact that no simple formula can explain why the virus is afflicting a state like Michigan while sparing a state like California — seems frightening. Who’s to say that what’s happening in Michigan today won’t happen somewhere else tomorrow?  But in another, deeper sense, today’s uneven pandemic should be taken as a sign of progress — and a source of optimism. “Based on our most recent estimates from CDC surveillance, the B.1.1.7 variant is now the most common lineage circulating in the United States,” CDC Director Rochelle Walensky announced Wednesday. Despite that, cases remain low — lower, on average, than 15 new daily cases per 100,000 people over the past week — in roughly half the states.

Test positivity in many of the states with the highest case counts, meanwhile, is still below 5 percent — see: New York (3.6 percent), Connecticut (4.3 percent), Maryland (4.7 percent), Rhode Island (2.4 percent) and Massachusetts (2.5 percent) — suggesting that the virus might not be as prevalent there as the overall numbers make it seem. While a handful of states are worth worrying over — Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Minnesota, for instance, have both relatively high case counts and positivity — nowhere is spiking like Michigan.  And far from skyrocketing, the national daily case numbers have actually held steady at about 65,000 for the last week, while national hospitalizations have leveled off at about 40,000.

Given all the variables at play, it is of course possible that the U.S. pandemic will take another turn for the worse. Even if roughly half the country already has some degree of immunity through infection or immunization, the other half doesn’t. That’s more than 100 million potential hosts.  Yet the chances are a turn for the worse now wouldn’t be nearly as devastating as America’s previous waves. Every day, the U.S. is vaccinating another 1 percent of its population; eligibility is open to everyone in more than half the states, and the rest should follow by April 19. Hundreds of millions of additional vaccine doses — all of which have proven effective against variants — will be flooding the zone this spring. More than three-quarters of all Americans over 65 have received one shot; nearly 60 percent have been fully vaccinated.
The effect of this protection is already apparent in the data, with emergency room visits and hospitalizations among seniors — previously the most vulnerable age group — continuing to fall nationwide. Today, younger, still-unvaccinated Americans comprise a growing share of reported cases. But that means COVID deaths — down 20 percent over the last two weeks to an average of fewer than 800 a day, the lowest level since October — are unlikely to ever again reach winter’s terrible highs.

[Homesteader]

My doctor gave me another term to research yesterday. CYTOKYME STORM.  He lost me pretty quickly but I did get a few words to stick in my brain. Overweight, obesity, immune system, fat cells, spike protein. He told me to start googling Cytokyme Storm before it was sanitized.   

[Mother]

Simplified version as the body has extremely complex systems.....   

 

Cytokines are small proteins produced by various cells in the body in response to an infection, autoimmune reaction, and etc.  They signal and regulate other cells to come to the aid of the body during an infection or 'invasion', such as with covid and many other diseases and situations.   Unfortunately in certain cases they can be overproduced and cause a cascade to occur where cell after cell are effected and more immune cells are produced than what is needed.  The immune cells can become so dysregulated they start to attack healthy cells and tissues as well rather than just the infection, disease, virus, etc and create what is called a Cytokine storm that can be more damaging to the body than the original malady.  

 

All the other words he gave you were connected with the body's response.  They all effect the amount of cytokines produced. 

 

It is believed that the cytokine storm is connected with the deaths in Covid of people who are obese or have immune systems that already produce more cytokines than needed, such as in autoimmune diseases or other underlying conditions.  (Allergies are even autoimmune related.)   Long Covid, where the symptoms linger for months and possibly years, is believed by some to be a cytokine dysregulation of immune cells.  It's possible that we aren't dealing with JUST the virus but with lingering illnesses.     

 

 

[dogmom4]

Mother, I’m so glad your brother is doing better.

 

California does seem to be doing better. I’m cautiously optimistic. Our schools are opening on Monday after being closed and using distance-learning since last April. 70% of our students are going back in person and 30% have decided to remain with distance-learning...there will be 8 weeks of school until the end of the year. We had so many children at the preschool level who decided to remain with distance-learning that we had to create a class and only distance-learning...and I was lucky enough to be asked to be that teacher. As much as I want to get back into the classroom I still wish we could have remained with distance learning until the end of the school year. I want to be positive about kids going back but I just keep feeling like it’s a bad idea. Especially since in the past week my little city has had two cases of the Brazilian variant. People here are so tired of not being out and about and doing all their normal activities. Everyone wants things to be back to the way it was. It’s almost as if people have forgotten that we are still in a pandemic....

 

As far as testing goes I wonder about it’s accuracy if not everyone is getting tested. The University here created a spit test that’s available to all community members who live or work here for free and you get your results back in 24 hours...it’s on all school sites and and at a number of other places. And yet I know a lot of people who never get tested because they don’t see the point...

[Midnightmom]

There is also a video on his web page based on this information and in it he gives his opinion on the so called "Vaccine Passport."

 

Quote

Four States Ban Johnson And Johnson Vaccine After Severe Side Effects Reported

 

Four states “pause” the distribution of the one-shot Johnson and Johnson vaccine due to a high number of severe side effects. The most recent case was in Forsyth County, Georgia which is about 45 minutes away from Downtown Atlanta. At this site, officials say the number of adversely affected was around 2% of over 400 recipients. The site was shut down out of “an abundance of caution”. However, if the “jabs” were to continue, more and more people would experience harsh side effects. This would obviously become a very serious problem.

.

.

.

If a person has confidence in the vaccination process, then they should be able to take it if they please. But no forced vaccinations from employers, airlines, or anywhere else should be allowed. Especially not after witnessing the side effects of the vaccine which could be worse than catching the virus itself.

https://anthonyblogan.com/four-states-ban-johnson-and-johnson-vaccine-after-severe-side-effects-reported/

 

[Mt_Rider]

CO is one state that shut down the J&J vaccine.  I haven't been able to find WHAT side effects were presenting.... 

 

MtRider  .....  With my riding now, I've got more exposure than I've had in 2020....