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Johns Hopkins’ Dr. Mark Makary, writing recently in the Wall Street Journal, concludes that the welcome collapse in virus cases, which began in January, cannot be attributed solely to the end of holiday festivities or the start-up of vaccines. He says it also suggests that the medical community is vastly underestimating the number of people in the country who have contracted the virus, are asymptomatic, and who have developed immunities.   Makary thinks, assessing the data, that "The country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection."  He concludes that the U.S. is nearing "herd immunity" and that "COVID will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life."  

 

Youyang Gu, a data scientist whose model has proved the most accurate forecaster of COVID deaths, predicts we will reach herd immunity (or "normality," as his team now calls it) by June/July. Not as soon as April, but soon. 

 

None of these forecasters suggests we should drop all precautions. Indeed, progress may require continued mask-wearing and social-distancing for the next few months. But by early summer, we can resume our pre-COVID lives. 

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Ambergris, thank you for the information.  It explains some of the things I'd been seeing happening. 

 

Homey, that is encouraging news.  I would embrace wholeheartedly the ability to be out and among family and friends freely again.  Still,  I've learned over the years not to believe everything I read or hear.    I, for one, will continue to be cautious.  

Edited by Mother
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On 2/17/2021 at 6:20 PM, Ambergris said:

My guess is that in Iowa, they test you if they are pretty sure you have it, while in Rhode Island, they test you if you don't run fast and far enough.

 

:coffeescreen: 

 

On 2/18/2021 at 5:07 AM, Ambergris said:

electronic “nose” manufactured by Dutch company Breathomix

 

Like the cancer-sniffing dogs.......or airport drug dogs...  Still, 70-75% leaves a quarter of errors.  :shrug:  

 

MtRider 

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On 2/19/2021 at 5:49 PM, Ambergris said:

Without a robust national surveillance program,

 

...talking about detecting the mutations of the COVID virus but does anyone understand how the scientists would surveil?  By running more of the positive tests from lots of folks thru additional lab testing?

 

MtRider ...new job market?  Medical lab tech???

 

 

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23 hours ago, Ambergris said:

91 percent were not serious they say... what does not serious mean?  Because that nine percent of of the 7,000 means a lot of people when you extrapolate to hundreds of millions of people (or even billions of people) eventually getting vaccinated.

 

:thumbs: 

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I am getting conflicting information on the California variant.  The name of it keeps changing, for one thing. 

 

Here's one article:

 

Researchers warn 'the devil is already here' after analysis of California COVID-19 variant
Brendan Morrow Tue, February 23, 2021, 12:14 PM

Researchers in California are expressing concern over a COVID-19 variant in the state, which the Los Angeles Times reports appears "increasingly dangerous."

Scientists from the University of California, San Francisco examined the B.1.427/B.1.429 COVID-19 variant spreading in California, and they say that it "not only spreads more readily than its predecessors, but also evades antibodies generated by COVID-19 vaccines or prior infection and it's associated with severe illness and death," the Los Angeles Times writes.

The researchers warned that the variant should be viewed as a "variant of concern" like others from the United Kingdom, South Africa and Brazil.
"The devil is already here," warned Dr. Charles Chiu, who led the new analysis. "I wish it were different. But the science is the science."

The California strain reportedly appears to reduce the effect of neutralizing antibodies by a factor of two, compared to a factor of 6.2 for the South Africa strain. The study also suggests it "could have greater virulence," the Times writes, noting the researchers looked at 324 hospitalized patients' medical charts and found that those infected with the B.1.427/B.1.429 variant were more likely to be admitted to the ICU, as well as more likely to die. Still, Chiu said this could potentially be a result of hospitals being overwhelmed due to the increased transmissibility of the variant, rather than the variant itself being more deadly.

 

There are opposing views, such as by Eric Topol, who calls the California strain a media "scariant" of little consequence:

Eric Topol
@EricTopol
·
22h
There's a problem with labelling the California variant (B.1.427/B.1.429) "increasingly dangerous" when there isn't even a preprint published and we're watching dramatic descent in cases, hospitalization and deaths despite its high frequency

 

+++++

Eric Topol is on Twitter with some interesting commentary.  He's worth looking up every once in a while.

Edited by Ambergris
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Are they just doing checks on hospitalized cases and not all cases?  It would make sense that those who were hospitalized would be more ill.  Isn't mutation to be expected with viruses?  It always seems the regular flu has so many variants that it's hard for the manufacturers of vaccines to figure out which one will be more prevalent in any given year so they can match their vaccine to as many as possible.  

 

I'm not saying that a nasty 'mutant ninja virus' is what anyone wants to deal with and I'm glad they are trying to keep up on the latest mutation but I also don't believe it's unexpected.  

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14 hours ago, Mother said:

Isn't mutation to be expected with viruses? 

 

According to what DH has studied, GENERALLY....the virus/bacteria seeks to NOT kill off it's host with the mutations. 

 

In other words, if you have Virus A that is killing off the hosts, Virus A will not last as long as Mutation Virus B that is far less deadly to the host.  

 

:unsure:  LOL  ..so it's not like virus has a mind to figure out killing host is bad.....  :grinning-smiley-044:   Rather, it will spread more...becoming the dominate virus merely because it's hosts last longer and spread and such....

 

:scratchhead:   Did that make sense on the 3 attempts to explain it?  :rolleyes: 

 

MtRider  ...it's late  :offtobed:

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So there is this game called Plague, Inc that is super fun to play.  You can play real life scenarios on it and it requires thought.  A fatal virus does not necessarily kill fast.  A virus doesn't seek to do anything--it just replicates.  The more people and time it has, the more it does.  The more replications it has, the greater the chance of mutation that is more deadly/fatal/contagious.  The contagion and the fatality are actually separate.  An instantly fatal virus may last longer than say an STD simply because it is passed through air, water, animals, or corpses.    Contagion does not depend on the host being alive, and can exist for extended times without a host for several virus.  Examples of this are corona lasting for a few days on a box, or Hep A lasting weeks on a dirty counter.  A frozen Siberian virus was unthawed and still infectious 30K years later.  

 

~I play way too many video games and read too much medical literature.  

 

Here is an article I used with my kids to explain some of the basics:

There are more viruses than stars in the universe. Why do only some infect us? (nationalgeographic.com)

Edited by euphrasyne
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The trick to winning Plague is not to let any fatal symptoms evolve until after Greenland is infected.  It also helps to start in India, since the virus is always discovered when the first country is fully infected.

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De evolving symptoms works works well on the bacteria mode.  There are a few other things that can work better for some of the other things.   You can ignore Greenland on a few if you environmentally harden to cold and then pass via water and animals.  It will infect before Australia that way.   I find Simian Flu and Prion a bit more tricky.   Mega-Brutal <3.    

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Plague ....is a video game, huh?  :lol:    

 

Well, I think COVID nearly becomes that too, for all the charts and maps and computations and such these days.  Some research type folks isolated away with the numbers and graphs might well be those who NEED to take a peek out into the real hospitals.  The numbers in research don't always add up.....sometimes because of the mutations/variables we're referring to... 

 

MtRider  ....some of these COVID mutations do sound....ominous.  :( 

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Nationwide, about 15% of the population has had a first dose of the vaccine, which is apparently the important dose.

Alaska, the Dakotas, New Mexico, and Connecticut have all all dosed at least 20% of the population

Tennessee, Texas, Alabama, Utah, Georgia, and Puerto Rico have dosed less than 14%.

 

The February good news re dropping cases appears to have ended, but the number of people in hospitals is still going down in most states:

For the week ending Sunday, Feb. 28, 2021

  CURRENTLY HOSPITALIZED
State Avg. this week Per 100K 1-wk chg.
United States 51,838
 
16
–15.2%
Alaska 43
 
6
+22.2%
South Dakota 94
 
11
+2.3%
Washington, D.C. 192
 
27
–5.1%
Rhode Island 172
 
16
–5.9%
Michigan 831
 
8
–5.9%
Maine 81
 
6
–6.3%
Missouri 1,191
 
19
–7.5%
Colorado 418
 
7
–7.8%
Mississippi 531
 
18
–8.0%
Tennessee 959
 
14
–9.5%
Nebraska 162
 
8
–10.1%
New York State 5,670
 
29
–10.1%
Florida 3,955
 
18
–10.2%
Delaware 167
 
17
–10.6%
West Virginia 272
 
15
–10.7%
Idaho 142
 
8
–10.7%
Kentucky 829
 
19
–11.0%
Maryland 941
 
16
–11.1%
Puerto Rico 197
 
6
–11.1%
Minnesota 264
 
5
–11.4%
Utah 258
 
8
–11.7%
New Jersey 1,993
 
22
–12.4%
Wisconsin 337
 
6
–12.5%
Pennsylvania 1,895
 
15
–12.6%
Iowa 208
 
7
–12.9%
Oregon 173
 
4
–13.0%
Connecticut 494
 
14
–13.2%
Illinois 1,425
 
11
–13.3%
Virginia 1,484
 
17
–14.4%
Montana 78
 
7
–14.5%
Hawaii 35
 
3
–14.6%
New Mexico 236
 
11
–14.9%
Texas 6,488
 
22
–15.0%
Georgia 2,557
 
24
–15.1%
Ohio 1,274
 
11
–16.1%
New Hampshire 99
 
7
–16.1%
Washington 449
 
6
–16.3%
Arkansas 519
 
17
–16.6%
Louisiana 679
 
15
–17.2%
Indiana 796
 
12
–17.4%
North Carolina 1,493
 
14
–18.9%
Massachusetts 835
 
12
–18.9%
Kansas 233
 
8
–19.6%
South Carolina 918
 
18
–19.8%
Oklahoma 574
 
15
–20.1%
Vermont 30
 
5
–23.5%
California 6,440
 
16
–23.6%
Arizona 1,409
 
19
–23.7%
Nevada 531
 
17
–24.3%
Alabama 727
 
15
–26.6%
Wyoming 23
 
4
–31.6%
North Dakota 27
 
4
–31.8%

 

Regardless of the good news re hospitals, the number of people dying has gone up in nineteen states:

For the week ending Sunday, Feb. 28, 2021

  DEATHS TO DATE ONE-WEEK TOTAL
State Total deaths Per 100K New deaths Per 100K 1-wk chg.
United States 513,721
 
155 14,387 4.3
+5.5%
Maine 703
 
52 45 3.3
+400.0%
Virginia 8,552
 
100 1,221 14.3
+282.8%
Oregon 2,208
 
52 53 1.3
+194.4%
Hawaii 439
 
31 9 0.6
+125.0%
Texas 44,031
 
152 1,635 5.6
+81.3%
Oklahoma 4,428
 
112 247 6.2
+57.3%
Idaho 1,860
 
104 34 1.9
+47.8%
Rhode Island 2,502
 
236 126 11.9
+46.5%
Utah 1,935
 
60 83 2.6
+43.1%
Mississippi 6,681
 
225 128 4.3
+40.7%
Tennessee 11,411
 
167 278 4.1
+39.0%
Washington, D.C. 1,017
 
144 22 3.1
+37.5%
Iowa 5,471
 
173 135 4.3
+35.0%
South Dakota 1,888
 
213 25 2.8
+31.6%
California 52,215
 
132 2,874 7.3
+23.7%
Kentucky 4,637
 
104 190 4.3
+15.2%
Wisconsin 7,014
 
121 143 2.5
+13.5%
Ohio 17,297
 
148 481 4.1
+2.3%
Indiana 12,573
 
187 201 3.0
+1.0%
North Dakota 1,445
 
190 7 0.9
+0%
Montana 1,357
 
127 15 1.4
+0%
New Jersey 23,252
 
262 394 4.4
–2.5%
New Mexico 3,716
 
177 92 4.4
–3.2%
Alabama 9,929
 
203 337 6.9
–3.7%
Maryland 7,869
 
130 154 2.5
–4.3%
Puerto Rico 2,036
 
64 57 1.8
–5.0%
Washington 4,956
 
65 134 1.8
–8.8%
Minnesota 6,483
 
115 51 0.9
–8.9%
Arizona 15,980
 
220 475 6.5
–9.9%
Vermont 204
 
33 7 1.1
–12.5%
New York State 47,335
 
243 800 4.1
–12.9%
Colorado 5,951
 
103 59 1.0
–13.2%
Massachusetts 16,118
 
234 292 4.2
–14.6%
Florida 31,406
 
146 972 4.5
–16.1%
Pennsylvania 24,056
 
188 416 3.2
–17.5%
Missouri 8,228
 
134 229 3.7
–18.2%
Louisiana 9,608
 
207 142 3.1
–18.4%
Illinois 22,735
 
179 269 2.1
–22.0%
Nebraska 2,082
 
108 35 1.8
–22.2%
West Virginia 2,300
 
128 39 2.2
–23.5%
New Hampshire 1,170
 
86 16 1.2
–23.8%
Michigan 16,508
 
165 166 1.7
–25.6%
Connecticut 7,622
 
214 99 2.8
–30.3%
North Carolina 11,212
 
107 286 2.7
–34.3%
Delaware 1,422
 
146 55 5.6
–34.5%
South Carolina 8,530
 
166 206 4.0
–36.8%
Georgia 17,295
 
163 551 5.2
–36.9%
Wyoming 671
 
116 9 1.6
–40.0%
Nevada 4,957
 
161 85 2.8
–47.9%
Kansas 4,735
 
163 121 4.2
–51.6%
Alaska 290
 
40 1 0.1
–88.9%
Arkansas 5,243
 
174 -114 0.0
–223.9%

 

What we are seeing, I think, is the predicted peak of cases in January, falling off sharply through the first three weeks of February, with the peak of hospitalizations following (and falling) a week or two behind that, and hopefully the peak of deaths following a week or two later--meaning now.  400% on 45 means 30 some new cases--that's not huge in the big picture.  Texas and Virginia are in trouble, especially if the count goes up like that again on the first Sunday in March, but this is really good news for 48 states and I am reasonably confident the good news will continue for the next week.  Then something will swing, but that's then.   

 

Edited by Ambergris
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I know people are tired of being locked down and TOLD what to do.  And there's something about spring coming that makes people want to get out and DO things.  I can understand that totally.  There are a lot of reasons I can think of for the PTB to be backing off on 'mandates'.  I just hope people are also responsible enough to realize it's still out there and some of us are more at risk than others and could still use their help at avoiding it.  

 

On a side note, in looking up the numbers from the 1918 pandemic it appears (according to the CDC) it's numbers were still much worse than this one.  It was estimated that over 500 million world wide became infected with the number of deaths estimated at 50 million worldwide. About 675 thousand of those deaths occurred in the US.  Compare that with 115,420,464 cases worldwide as of today and 2,562,917 deaths world wide with approximately 530,000 of those deaths occurring in the US.  Interesting. 

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He's opening the state, dropping the mask rules, and announcing that the Covid rates are fixing to explode because of federal immigration policies--when Mexico has never had anywhere near the infection rate Texas has.

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3 hours ago, Ambergris said:

He's opening the state, dropping the mask rules, and announcing that the Covid rates are fixing to explode because of federal immigration policies--when Mexico has never had anywhere near the infection rate Texas has.

 

Lets be fair here. The "immigrants" are NOT Mexicans. And the ones that are coming to our borders are only passing through Mexico on their way here.

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The trek is over 1100 miles through Mexico alone, meaning well over two weeks of walking for a healthy person.  In a recent testing binge for a caravan, less than I think thirty out of over 2000 or 3000 were found to test positive for Covid.  Remember hearing how "the cowards never started, and the weak died on the way?"  Well, the sick don't get far.

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According to the CDC report released today, almost 80% of those who were hospitlized, on ventilators, or died from covid were either overweight or obese. The obese number was over 50%. News came through

CNBC.com.  There are a lot more reasons to stay healthy that we only discovering.  :happy0203:

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Per the Business Insider, the tests are still showing available vaccines, this one focusing on Moderna, are significantly less effective against the South African variant.  Details here: https://www.businessinsider.com/south-africa-variant-vaccines-pfizer-moderna-covid-vaccine-study-mutation-2021-3 

Only 21 countries are at the peak of their infection cycle. These include Brazil, Cuba, Jamaica, Ivory Coast, Botswana, Palestinian Territories, Jordan, Iraq, Kuwait, Finland, Hungary, and Mongolia. 

I'll get to the charts later today.

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12 hours ago, Homesteader said:

According to the CDC report released today, almost 80% of those who were hospitlized, on ventilators, or died from covid were either overweight or obese. The obese number was over 50%.

I might be in trouble. :scratchhead:  More reason to stick closer to my eating plan.... 

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Countries reporting the most deaths each day, averaging 7 days' reports
USA 1,597  

BRAZIL 1,525 

MEXICO 682

RUSSIA 416 

ITALY 308

US deaths last week: 11,800 down 18.0% from the prior week

deaths in the last week in order of number of deaths

For the week ending Sunday, March 7, 2021

  DEATHS TO DATE ONE-WEEK TOTAL
State Total deaths Per 100K New deaths Per 100K 1-wk chg.
         
 
California 54,225
 
137 2,010 5.1
–30.1%
Texas 45,527
 
157 1,496 5.2
–8.5%
Virginia 9,596
 
112 1,044 12.2
–14.5%
Florida 32,266
 
150 860 4.0
–11.5%
New York State 48,051
 
247 716 3.7
–10.5%
Georgia 17,906
 
169 611 5.8
+10.9%
Arizona 16,328
 
224 348 4.8
–26.7%
Pennsylvania 24,394
 
191 338 2.6
–18.8%
New Jersey 23,574
 
265 322 3.6
–18.3%
Massachusetts 16,417
 
238 299 4.3
+2.4%
North Carolina 11,502
 
110 290 2.8
+1.4%
Illinois 23,014
 
182 279 2.2
+3.7%
Missouri 8,471
 
138 243 4.0
+6.1%
South Carolina 8,754
 
170 224 4.4
+8.7%
Alabama 10,148
 
207 219 4.5
–35.0%
Ohio 17,502
 
150 205 1.8
–57.4%
Kentucky 4,819
 
108 182 4.1
–4.2%
Indiana 12,737
 
189 164 2.4
–18.4%
Michigan 16,658
 
167 150 1.5
–9.6%
Louisiana 9,748
 
210 140 3.0
–1.4%
Tennessee 11,547
 
169 136 2.0
–51.1%
Mississippi 6,808
 
229 127 4.3
–0.8%
Oklahoma 4,534
 
115 106 2.7
–57.1%
New Mexico 3,808
 
182 92 4.4
+0%
Wisconsin 7,106
 
122 92 1.6
–35.7%
Oregon 2,296
 
54 88 2.1
+66.0%
Iowa 5,558
 
176 87 2.8
–35.6%
Maryland 7,955
 
132 86 1.4
–44.2%
Washington 5,041
 
66 85 1.1
–36.6%
Connecticut 7,704
 
216 82 2.3
–17.2%
Nevada 5,037
 
164 80 2.6
–5.9%
Kansas 4,812
 
165 77 2.6
–36.4%
Arkansas 5,319
 
176 76 2.5
–166.7%
Minnesota 6,550
 
116 67 1.2
+31.4%
Delaware 1,473
 
151 51 5.2
–7.3%
Utah 1,976
 
62 41 1.3
–50.6%
Rhode Island 2,541
 
240 39 3.7
–69.0%
Colorado 5,989
 
104 38 0.7
–35.6%
Nebraska 2,113
 
109 31 1.6
–11.4%
Puerto Rico 2,062
 
65 26 0.8
–54.4%
West Virginia 2,325
 
130 25 1.4
–35.9%
Montana 1,381
 
129 24 2.2
+60.0%
Idaho 1,879
 
105 19 1.1
–44.1%
Alaska 305
 
42 15 2.1
+1400.0%
New Hampshire 1,184
 
87 14 1.0
–12.5%
Washington, D.C. 1,030
 
146 13 1.8
–40.9%
South Dakota 1,900
 
215 12 1.4
–52.0%
Wyoming 682
 
118 11 1.9
+22.2%
Hawaii 445
 
31 6 0.4
–33.3%
Vermont 208
 
33 4 0.6
–42.9%
North Dakota 1,449
 
190 4 0.5
–42.9%
Maine 706
 
53 3 0.2
–93.3%

 

deaths in the last week ordered by how hard they hit their state

For the week ending Sunday, March 7, 2021

  DEATHS TO DATE ONE-WEEK TOTAL
State Total deaths Per 100K New deaths Per 100K 1-wk chg.
           
Virginia 9,596
 
112 1,044 12.2
–14.5%
Georgia 17,906
 
169 611 5.8
+10.9%
Texas 45,527
 
157 1,496 5.2
–8.5%
Delaware 1,473
 
151 51 5.2
–7.3%
California 54,225
 
137 2,010 5.1
–30.1%
Arizona 16,328
 
224 348 4.8
–26.7%
Alabama 10,148
 
207 219 4.5
–35.0%
South Carolina 8,754
 
170 224 4.4
+8.7%
New Mexico 3,808
 
182 92 4.4
+0%
Massachusetts 16,417
 
238 299 4.3
+2.4%
Mississippi 6,808
 
229 127 4.3
–0.8%
Kentucky 4,819
 
108 182 4.1
–4.2%
Florida 32,266
 
150 860 4.0
–11.5%
Missouri 8,471
 
138 243 4.0
+6.1%
New York State 48,051
 
247 716 3.7
–10.5%
Rhode Island 2,541
 
240 39 3.7
–69.0%
New Jersey 23,574
 
265 322 3.6
–18.3%
Louisiana 9,748
 
210 140 3.0
–1.4%
North Carolina 11,502
 
110 290 2.8
+1.4%
Iowa 5,558
 
176 87 2.8
–35.6%
Oklahoma 4,534
 
115 106 2.7
–57.1%
Pennsylvania 24,394
 
191 338 2.6
–18.8%
Nevada 5,037
 
164 80 2.6
–5.9%
Kansas 4,812
 
165 77 2.6
–36.4%
Arkansas 5,319
 
176 76 2.5
–166.7%
Indiana 12,737
 
189 164 2.4
–18.4%
Connecticut 7,704
 
216 82 2.3
–17.2%
Illinois 23,014
 
182 279 2.2
+3.7%
Montana 1,381
 
129 24 2.2
+60.0%
Oregon 2,296
 
54 88 2.1
+66.0%
Alaska 305
 
42 15 2.1
+1400.0%
Tennessee 11,547
 
169 136 2.0
–51.1%
Wyoming 682
 
118 11 1.9
+22.2%
Ohio 17,502
 
150 205 1.8
–57.4%
Washington, D.C. 1,030
 
146 13 1.8
–40.9%
Wisconsin 7,106
 
122 92 1.6
–35.7%
Nebraska 2,113
 
109 31 1.6
–11.4%
Michigan 16,658
 
167 150 1.5
–9.6%
Maryland 7,955
 
132 86 1.4
–44.2%
West Virginia 2,325
 
130 25 1.4
–35.9%
South Dakota 1,900
 
215 12 1.4
–52.0%
Utah 1,976
 
62 41 1.3
–50.6%
Minnesota 6,550
 
116 67 1.2
+31.4%
Washington 5,041
 
66 85 1.1
–36.6%
Idaho 1,879
 
105 19 1.1
–44.1%
New Hampshire 1,184
 
87 14 1.0
–12.5%
Puerto Rico 2,062
 
65 26 0.8
–54.4%
Colorado 5,989
 
104 38 0.7
–35.6%
Vermont 208
 
33 4 0.6
–42.9%
North Dakota 1,449
 
190 4 0.5
–42.9%
Hawaii 445
 
31 6 0.4
–33.3%
Maine 706
 
53 3 0.2
–93.3%

 

I'm not going to repeat the chart to show the order of the 14 states that showed a positive instead of a negative change.  In each case, the change was a minimal number of cases: fifteen or less, usually.  That's tragedy, not catastrophe.

number of people in hospitals (short version: it went down everywhere but Michigan and Wyoming, and stayed even in Wyoming) 

For the week ending Sunday, March 7, 2021

  CURRENTLY HOSPITALIZED
State Avg. this week Per 100K 1-wk chg.
United States 43,675
 
13
–15.7%
Texas 5,248
 
18
–19.1%
New York State 5,136
 
26
–9.4%
California 4,901
 
12
–23.9%
Florida 3,512
 
16
–11.2%
Georgia 2,195
 
21
–14.2%
New Jersey 1,877
 
21
–5.8%
Pennsylvania 1,621
 
13
–14.4%
Virginia 1,269
 
15
–14.5%
North Carolina 1,261
 
12
–15.5%
Illinois 1,214
 
10
–14.8%
Arizona 1,093
 
15
–22.4%
Ohio 1,009
 
9
–20.8%
Missouri 1,008
 
16
–15.4%
Michigan 873
 
9
+5.1%
Maryland 859
 
14
–8.6%
Tennessee 837
 
12
–12.7%
Massachusetts 732
 
11
–12.3%
Indiana 714
 
11
–10.3%
South Carolina 683
 
13
–25.6%
Kentucky 640
 
14
–22.8%
Louisiana 573
 
12
–15.7%
Alabama 562
 
12
–22.8%
Mississippi 442
 
15
–16.8%
Connecticut 433
 
12
–12.3%
Washington 424
 
6
–5.6%
Nevada 420
 
14
–21.0%
Oklahoma 420
 
11
–26.8%
Arkansas 386
 
13
–25.6%
Colorado 368
 
6
–12.1%
Wisconsin 267
 
5
–20.7%
Utah 240
 
8
–6.9%
Minnesota 233
 
4
–11.8%
Kansas 206
 
7
–11.6%
West Virginia 200
 
11
–26.6%
Iowa 181
 
6
–13.0%
New Mexico 180
 
9
–23.8%
Washington, D.C. 165
 
23
–14.5%
Puerto Rico 152
 
5
–22.7%
Rhode Island 148
 
14
–14.1%
Nebraska 147
 
8
–9.4%
Oregon 138
 
3
–20.4%
Idaho 136
 
8
–4.0%
Delaware 130
 
13
–21.8%
New Hampshire 87
 
6
–12.8%
South Dakota 84
 
10
–10.9%
Montana 69
 
7
–11.5%
Maine 69
 
5
–14.7%
Alaska 29
 
4
–32.3%
Hawaii 28
 
2
–20.0%
Vermont 25
 
4
–14.9%
Wyoming 23
 
4
+0%
North Dakota 22
 
3
–17.5%

 

 

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The view of the forest, not just the tree of the week, is important because even though we have had an up here and there, the overall trend  is still down.   I don't think the ninety three, ninety four thousand people a month we had dying in December and January is coming back unless we have a massive mutation or civil unrest.  March's numbers are only a little worse than the end of February's when they are bad, and are better when they are good.

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